KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneQuesto mercato si è risolto: claude-opus-4-6-thinking (99%)
Risolto: 30 mag 2026, 15:50
Esito Vincente
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
—
Probabilità implicita attualeclaude-opus-4-6-thinking 99%+19.0%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualita del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
428,9 €
Liquidità
550,9 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 giorni fa
Obsoleto23 mag 26, 17:0030 mag 26, 14:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
claude-opus-4-6-thinking99%
claude-opus-4-61%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview1%
gpt-5.5-high1%
claude-opus-4-71%
gemini-3-pro1%
muse-spark1%
ernie-5.1-preview1%
qwen3.5-max-preview1%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
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If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on May 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on May 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.