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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 11, 2026?
Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 11, 2026?

Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 11, 2026?

Bonds & TreasuriesOne-Off12h
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
4.56% to 4.58%
4.56% to 4.58% 18%
In testa tra 15 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

1 €

Liquidità

1 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

22.0% / 31.0%

Spread

40.9%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

10 giu 26, 20:3011 giu 26, 19:25

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
4.34% or below
4.34% or below
0%
4.35% to 4.37%
4.35% to 4.37%
0%
4.38% to 4.4%
4.38% to 4.4%
0%
4.41% to 4.43%
4.41% to 4.43%
0%
4.44% to 4.46%
4.44% to 4.46%
0%

Esito scelto

4.56% to 4.58%18%

Regole

If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is below 4.35 % on Jun 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jun 11, 2026, or one week following Jun 11, 2026.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.35-4.37 % on Jun 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.38-4.40 % on Jun 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.41-4.43 % on Jun 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.44-4.46 % on Jun 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Asset Sensibili al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,871.62+2.52%EthereumETH$1,658.53+1.90%SolanaSOL$65.29+1.89%

Mercati Correlati

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

30,3 €
4.3%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

11,4 €
5.1% or above: 7%KalshiKALSHI
30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

3,6 €
Above 4.95%: 69%KalshiKALSHI
Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

1,7 €
4.53% to 4.55%: 14%KalshiKALSHI
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

0,9 €
Sì: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

0 €
$39 trillion: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.76%XRPXRP$1.12+0.73%BNBBNB$596.99+1.87%CardanoADA$0.1658+3.40%HyperliquidHYPE$55.72+0.77%LitecoinLTC$42.73+0.62%

Notizie Correlate

HashKey Group Joins HKMA’s Tokenised Bond Expert Group, Cementing Hong Kong’s Infrastructure PlayBlockchain ReporterJPMorgan, HSBC join Hong Kong tokenized bond working groupCrypto NewsHKMA Forms Tokenized Bond Expert Group to Advance MarketBlockchain.NewsBitwise model puts bitcoin fair value at $224,000 as sovereign-default hedgeCoindesk

Regole

If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is below 4.35 % on Jun 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jun 11, 2026, or one week following Jun 11, 2026.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.35-4.37 % on Jun 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.38-4.40 % on Jun 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.41-4.43 % on Jun 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.44-4.46 % on Jun 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.