KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 106 61.9%In testa tra 9 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
41 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
172,1 €
Liquidità
172,1 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
28 ago 26, 16:00 UTC7 ott 26, 02:29 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Starbucks Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiAmazon Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiWalmart Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiCredit Card Competition act enacted before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Temu go out of business in the EU before 2028?
Manifold Markets[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the Carbon Arc Temu Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Temu Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year.
- Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year.
Mercati aperti
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 351,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7K €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 altri esiti
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Temu Credit Card Spend in September?
- Kalshi quota Above 106 al 62% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Temu Credit Card Spend in September?
- Temu Credit Card Spend in September dovrebbe risolversi il 7 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Temu Credit Card Spend in September?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Carbon Arc Temu Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.