KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 30 ott 2026, 09:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Punto medio del book selezionato
Before Jan 1, 2030 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Jan 1, 2030 35.5%In testa tra 4 esiti
Before Jan 1, 2030 35.5%Qualità del mercato
65 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
333,7 €
Open interest
152,9K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jan 1, 2030Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
7 gen 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Jan 1, 2030
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
KalshiWill the US issue emergency extensions to Visas of Taiwanese citizens who are in the US at any time through 2028
Manifold Marketswill the US department of state issue surveillance-related travel warnings to people who visit china by EOY2028??
Manifold MarketsWill Lucy Martinez travel to Thailand before October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China impose a travel ban on Americans to Shenzhen for any period lasting more than 2 months before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketRegole
If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2030 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date. A Level 4 travel advisory means "Do not travel" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.
Si regola tramite:the U.S. State Department
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 1, 2030
- If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2030 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date. A Level 4 travel advisory means "Do not travel" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2029 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date. A Level 4 travel advisory means "Do not travel" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2028 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date. A Level 4 travel advisory means "Do not travel" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Advisories dated for future events must be effective before Jan 1, 2027 to qualify. The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region. A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date. A Level 4 travel advisory means "Do not travel" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.