KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2030 38%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualità del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
23,2 €
Liquidità
124,4K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
7 gen 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
KalshiWill the US issue emergency extensions to Visas of Taiwanese citizens who are in the US at any time through 2028
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PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the U.S. State Department
- Advisories dated for future events must be effective the named outcome to qualify.
- The category level must be the one that applies to the whole country, rather than a particular region, unless the country rulebook variable in this case refers to a region.
- A Travel Advisory is considered "issued" when it appears on the official State Department travel advisories website with an official publication date.
- A Level 4 travel advisory means "Do not travel" and is the highest advisory level due to life-threatening risks.
Mercati aperti
ChinaPOLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 11,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 40,4K €
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No+0.5pt73.3%
- Yes-0.5pt26.7%
- Volume totale
- 384,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 28,4K €
POLYMARKETValorant: Bilibili Gaming vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
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- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5+49.5pt100%
- 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5+50.0pt100%
KALSHIChina vs Puerto Rico
- China+1.0pt78.4%
- Puerto Rico21.6%
- Volume totale
- 25,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 24,9K €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 22,3K €
POLYMARKETWorlds 2026 Winning Region
- LCK (South Korea)+0.5pt66%
- LPL (China)25.2%
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)-0.1pt5.8%
+3 altri esiti
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- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Puerto Rico vs. China
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2030 al 38% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan??
- Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.