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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. US Politics
  3. Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?
Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?

Who will leave their position in Starmer's cabinet before July?

4.0% (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsEurope19g
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Ed Miliband
Ed Miliband 19%+4.0%
In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

1,7 €

Liquidità

129,5 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

14.0% / 18.0%

Spread

28.6%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 7 minuti fa

4 mag 26, 19:301 lug 26, 3:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Ed Miliband19%

Regole

If Rachel Reeves leaves as Chancellor before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Rachel Reeves must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
  • Note: A Cabinet reshuffle in which the individual ceases to hold the specified role but remains a member of the Cabinet still qualifies as leaving the role
  • If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
  • Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
  • If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.

Mercati Correlati

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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

28,1 €
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What will Keir Starmer say during Prime Minister's Questions?

What will Keir Starmer say during Prime Minister's Questions?

8,8 €
Trump: 16%KalshiKALSHI
CA-41 primary: first place

CA-41 primary: first place

2,5 €
Linda Sanchez: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Next government of the United Kingdom?

Next government of the United Kingdom?

0 €
Reform UK majority: 15%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Starmer out before July?

7,6K €
Sì: 16.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

2,8K €
No change: 96%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,810.62+2.16%EthereumETH$1,656.30+1.46%SolanaSOL$65.18+1.43%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.39%XRPXRP$1.12+0.34%BNBBNB$596.37+1.73%

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Regole

If Rachel Reeves leaves as Chancellor before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Rachel Reeves must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
  • Note: A Cabinet reshuffle in which the individual ceases to hold the specified role but remains a member of the Cabinet still qualifies as leaving the role
  • If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
  • Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
  • If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.