Probabilità implicita attuale
Tarcísio de Freitas 92%-3.0%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
60 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
0,9 €
Liquidità
11,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
92.0% / 96.0%
Spread
4.3%
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
25 apr 26, 14:004 ott 27, 14:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Tarcísio de Freitas92%
Confronta le piattaforme· Tarcísio de Freitas
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto80% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 94% | 0pt | 363,2 € | 118,4K € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
 KalshiQuesta pagina | Media | 92% | -2pt | 0,9 € | 11,4K € | 15 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
0.6%2m
94%
+0.6%5%
1%
+22 altri esiti
64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale212,3K €
Volume 24h363,2 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$4.8k92.0%POLYMARKETYes7897987987987924 gg fa
POLYMARKETYes7897987987987924 gg faTrend del volume
$12 lug9g di dati26 lug
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If Tarcísio de Freitas wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.