KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Tarcísio de Freitas 98%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
11,3K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
25 apr 26, 14:00 UTC4 ott 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
São Paulo Federal Senate election winners?
KalshiSão Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketSão Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketSão Paulo FC vs. Santos FC - More Markets
PolymarketElected Senators for São Paulo in 2026
FutuurBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats)
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the named outcome wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — São Paulo Governor Election Winner · Tarcísio de Freitas 99%
Mercati aperti
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per São Paulo Governor winner??
- Kalshi quota Tarcísio de Freitas al 98% al 22 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve São Paulo Governor winner??
- São Paulo Governor winner? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 ottobre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato São Paulo Governor winner??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome wins the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato São Paulo Governor winner??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.