KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Hakeem Jeffries 73.5%In testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
5,7K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
11 ago 26, 00:00 UTC3 gen 28, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Democrat elected Speaker of the House by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 119th Congress?
PredictIt120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiWho will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?
KalshiWho will be the next new Speaker of the House?
KalshiSpeaker of the House after the midterms?
PolymarketRegole
If the named outcome wins the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:House of Representatives
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 606,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 721K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House??
- Kalshi quota Hakeem Jeffries al 73% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve 120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House??
- 120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato 120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome wins the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.