KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
People's Party, 3-6% · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
People's Party, 3-6% 24.5%In testa tra 7 esiti
People's Party, 3-6% 24.5%Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Open interest
2,2K €
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
— / —
People's Party, 3-6%Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
5 ott 26, 21:00 UTC29 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · People's Party, 3-6%
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Regole
If the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is within 3% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the share of valid votes received by the party named in the market minus the share received by the party that finishes second if the named party finishes first, or minus the share of the party that finishes first if the named party does not. If the named party finishes first, the margin will be positive; if it does not, the margin will be negative; if it ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Vote shares are the nationwide percentages of valid votes (which in Spain include blank ballots) in the official Congress of Deputies results published by the Ministerio del Interior, under which votes for a party's regional affiliate lists (for example, PSC-PSOE for PSOE) count toward that party. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 3-6% and 6-9%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 3-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-9% range.
Regole per ogni esito
- People's Party, 3-6%
- If the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is within 3% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- People's Party, 6-9%
- If the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is within 6% to 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- People's Party, 0-3%
- If the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is within 0% to 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- People's Party, 9-12%
- If the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is within 9% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- PSOE, 0-3%
- If the margin of victory for PSOE in the 2026 Spanish general election is within 0% to 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- People's Party, ≥12%
- If the margin of victory for the People's Party in the 2026 Spanish general election is at or above 12%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- PSOE, ≥3%
- If the margin of victory for PSOE in the 2026 Spanish general election is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
