KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Reddit 97%In testa tra 22 esiti
Qualità del mercato
54 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,9K €
Liquidità
30,6K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
2 lug 26, 0:0030 set 26, 14:00
Trend
Regole
If SpaceX is announced to be or is officially added to S&P 500 during July 1, 2026 to September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:S&P Global
- The market resolves to Yes if either the index administrator officially announces the membership change OR the change takes effect during the specified time period, whichever occurs first.
- The effective date of the change need not fall within the time period; only the announcement or implementation must occur within the time period.
- Temporary suspensions do not constitute removal unless explicitly designated as permanent by the index administrator.
- If an announced addition or removal is subsequently reversed due to error within the time period, the Exchange will determine resolution at its discretion.
- For companies undergoing mergers, acquisitions, or restructuring, removal from the index due to such corporate actions constitutes removal for purposes of this market.
Mercati aperti
Equities
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-1.0pt74.8%
- Apple+1.8pt14.6%
- Alphabet+0.5pt8.7%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 5,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 33,2K €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 8,000 to 8,199.9915.2%
- 7,800 to 7,999.9915.2%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99-1.0pt10.7%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 5,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above-1.0pt14.7%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99+2.0pt8.6%
- 31,000 to 31,499.99+1.0pt6.9%
+27 altri esiti
POLYMARKETOura IPO Closing Market Cap
- $20B++11.0pt40.2%
- $17.5B–$20B+2.5pt25.2%
- $15B–$17.5B+2.0pt20.6%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAI bubble burst by which date?
- 2026+7.0pt16%
- March 31, 2026-0.1pt0%
- 2025+0.1pt0%
- Volume totale
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of August 31 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit Week of August 31 2026?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- What will Anthropic's public ticker be?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of August 31 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3??
- Kalshi quota Reddit al 97% al 4 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3??
- Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If SpaceX is announced to be or is officially added to S&P 500 during July 1, 2026 to September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.