KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 85%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2,1K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
13.0% / 16.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
12 set 25, 14:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If France officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCBBCThe GuardianFinancial Times
- A "snap election" is a national election for the legislature or head of government called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally or legally required date.
- The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call such elections, must specify an actual election date, and must occur after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled to take place.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will France announce a snap election??
- Kalshi quota No al 85% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will France announce a snap election??
- When will France announce a snap election? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato When will France announce a snap election??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If France officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.