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  3. When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

One-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsElezione
KalshiKalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione

Questo mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.

Risolto: 5 giu 2026, 14:49

Probabilità implicita attuale
Before May 16, 2026
Before May 16, 2026 1%
In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

5,5K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 giorni fa

Obsoleto
4 mag 26, 18:0016 mag 26, 14:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Before May 16, 2026
Before May 16, 2026
1%
Before May 20, 2026
Before May 20, 2026
1%
Before May 21, 2026
Before May 21, 2026
1%
Before May 22, 2026
Before May 22, 2026
1%
Before May 23, 2026
Before May 23, 2026
1%
Before Jun 3, 2026
Before Jun 3, 2026
1%

Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.

Regole

If a reconciliation bill has passed the Senate after Issuance and before May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

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Regole

If a reconciliation bill has passed the Senate after Issuance and before May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.