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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. What will Marco Rubio say during the State Department Budget Hearing?
What will Marco Rubio say during the State Department Budget Hearing?

What will Marco Rubio say during the State Department Budget Hearing?

24.0% (24h)Politica
KalshiKalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione

Questo mercato si è risolto: Hormuz (99%)

Risolto: 2 giu 2026, 18:33

Esito Vincente

Hormuz

A 7 giorni

—

A 24 ore

—

Probabilità implicita attuale
Trump (5+ times)
Trump (5+ times) 1%-24.0%
In testa tra 20 esiti
Qualita del mercato

56 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

2,7K €

Liquidità

2,6K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

- / 1.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 10 giorni fa

Obsoleto
26 mag 26, 23:0017 giu 26, 14:00

Cronologia delle Probabilità

Trump (5+ times)1%
Democrat1%
Event does not qualify1%
Hormuz99%
Tariff1%
Board of Peace22%
Climate1%
2028 / Campaign1%
Palestine / Gaza 99%
Embassy72%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
Israel / Israeli84%
NATO75%
Nuclear99%
Cuba / Cuban99%
China / Chinese99%
Ukraine75%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%
Ceasefire99%
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation99%
0%25%50%75%100%2 giu2 giu2 giu
Esito24hProbabilità
Trump (5+ times)
Trump (5+ times)
-24.0%
1%
Democrat
Democrat
-40.0%
1%
Event does not qualify
Event does not qualify
-3.0%
1%
Hormuz
Hormuz
+20.0%
99%
Tariff
Tariff
-42.0%
1%
Board of Peace
Board of Peace
+62.0%
99%

Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.

Regole

If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee State Department Budget Hearing will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee State Department Budget Hearing will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.

Asset Sensibili al Macro

BitcoinBTC$64,098.02+0.93%EthereumETH$1,680.44+0.76%SolanaSOL$67.92+1.48%

Mercati Correlati

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

4,1 Mln €
July 31: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

934,3K €
Jordan Bardella: 27%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

855,7K €
Gavin Newsom: 23%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Massachusetts Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

15,1K €
Democratic Party: 96.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Starmer out before July?

9,3K €
Sì: 17.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

New York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

9,2K €
Democratic Party: 92.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

AvalancheAVAX$6.68+0.68%DogecoinDOGE$0.0885+1.68%

Notizie Correlate

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsCongress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto NewsTrump unlikely to exit by June 30, Polymarket odds swing sideBlockchain.NewsHouse GOP eyes summer vote on prediction market restrictions for lawmakersCointelegraphCrypto Tycoons Fund Reform UK with $12.5M in Q1 DonationsBlockchain.NewsCrypto billionaires bankroll Nigel Farage's pro-crypto partyCointelegraph

Regole

If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Video of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee State Department Budget Hearing will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee State Department Budget Hearing will be used.
  • Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
  • Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.