KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
2.5°C to 2.9°C · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
2.5°C to 2.9°C 60.5%In testa tra 5 esiti
2.5°C to 2.9°C 60.5%Qualità del mercato
75 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
944,4 €
Open interest
41K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
2.5°C to 2.9°CSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
24 giu 26, 23:00 UTC15 ago 27, 14:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · 2.5°C to 2.9°C
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
KalshiWhat will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?
KalshiWill this El Niño be the strongest ever recorded?
Manifold MarketsWill El Niño break NOAA's all-time record? The official ONI value for Aug–Oct 2026 (record: +2.59)
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
PolymarketWill the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?
PolymarketRegole
If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 2.5 and 2.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:NOAA Climate Prediction Center
- The peak RONI value is determined solely from values published in the NOAA CPC official RONI table that are designated as final (non-preliminary). For La Niña contracts, the peak RONI value refers to the single most negative (i.e., lowest) RONI value. The latest Expiration Date shall be one week after the Source Agency publishes the final RONI value for the last three-month period falling within the time period. However, if the peak RONI value necessary to determine the Market Outcome can be conclusively established prior to that date (e.g., the season has formally ended and all relevant values are final), expiration may be moved to an earlier date and time.
Regole per ogni esito
- 2.5°C to 2.9°C
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 2.5 and 2.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3.0°C
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is at least 3.0°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2.0°C to 2.4°C
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 2.0 and 2.4°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 1.5°C
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is below 1.5°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1.5°C to 1.9°C
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 1.5 and 1.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.