KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 71%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2,1K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
14.0% / 18.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
24 ago 26, 21:00 UTC5 ott 27, 22:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Quebec National Assembly election winner?
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KalshiRichmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
PolymarketNicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
PolymarketDrummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
PolymarketKenyan National Assembly winner?
KalshiRegole
If the Parti Quebecois has won at least 64 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Elections Quebec
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- Majority control means more than half of the seats in Quebec's National Assembly, as certified by Élections Québec.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted.
- By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly??
- Kalshi quota No al 71% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly??
- Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly? dovrebbe risolversi il 5 ottobre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Parti Quebecois has won at least 64 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.