Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?
21.0% (24h)PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione1a
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeFrancesca Hong, ≥15% 49%+21.0%In testa tra 12 esiti
Qualita del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,2K €
Liquidità
13,2K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
36.0% / 42.0%
Spread
16.7%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
20 lug 26, 15:4211 ago 27, 14:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Francesca Hong, ≥15%49%
Grandi operazioni
$1.4k95.0%KALSHIDavid Crowley, 3-6% — No4 gg fa
KALSHIDavid Crowley, 3-6% — No4 gg faTrend del volume
$1.3k20 lug7g di dati26 lug
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If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Hong minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Francesca Hong if Francesca Hong wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Francesca Hong loses.
- If Francesca Hong wins, the margin will be positive; if Francesca Hong loses, the margin will be negative; if Francesca Hong ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Francesca Hong runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.