KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeMark Lamb, 15-20% 99%+1.0%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualita del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
103,5 €
Liquidità
5,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
17 lug 26, 19:0421 lug 27, 14:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Mark Lamb, 15-20%99%
Trend del volume
$11817 lug9g di dati26 lug
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If the margin of victory for Daniel Keenan in the 2026 AZ-05 Republican primary falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Daniel Keenan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Daniel Keenan if Daniel Keenan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Daniel Keenan loses.
- If Daniel Keenan wins, the margin will be positive; if Daniel Keenan loses, the margin will be negative; if Daniel Keenan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Daniel Keenan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.