KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Zohran Mamdani 60.4%In testa tra 12 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
813,2 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
9 lug 26, 21:03 UTC6 nov 30, 15:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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ForecastExRegole
If the named outcome wins the next New York City mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:New York City Board of Elections
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt19%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.2pt54.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-8.0pt43.6%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-3.1pt35.4%
- Édouard Philippe31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Fraud+68.0pt99%
- Transgender+62.0pt99%
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+36 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.5pt18%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt4%
+39 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+2.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume totale
- 25,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per New York City mayoral election winner??
- Kalshi quota Zohran Mamdani al 60% al 11 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve New York City mayoral election winner??
- New York City mayoral election winner? dovrebbe risolversi il 6 novembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato New York City mayoral election winner??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome wins the next New York City mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.