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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. How many government shutdowns in 2026?
How many government shutdowns in 2026?

How many government shutdowns in 2026?

4.0% (24h)YearlyPoliticaUS Politics6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
2
2 58%-4.0%
In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

13,9 €

Liquidità

66,5 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

54.0% / 58.0%

Spread

7.4%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 minuti fa

13 feb 26, 15:001 gen 27, 14:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

258%

Regole

If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 2 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Link to associated contract: GOVTSHUTLENGTH.
  • If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 3 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 4 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 5 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercati Correlati

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

252,3 €
Anduril: 34%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Which CA governors will build more housing in 2027?

130,1 €
Alex Padilla, more housing: 0.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?

60,7 €
Sì: 4.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

33,7 €
FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years): 29%KalshiKALSHI
Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

18,8 €
Sì: 9%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Deportations in 2026?

Deportations in 2026?

6,4 €
Above 500,000: 36%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$63,035.28+1.49%EthereumETH$1,653.89+0.17%SolanaSOL$65.46+0.63%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+0.48%HyperliquidHYPE$57.17-0.53%XRPXRP$1.12-1.19%

Notizie Correlate

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsTrump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto NewsU.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto NewsTrump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto NewsCongress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto NewsCongress wants to ban lawmakers from crypto prediction marketsCrypto News

Regole

If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 2 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Link to associated contract: GOVTSHUTLENGTH.
  • If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 3 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 4 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 5 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.