KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Gadi Eisenkot 59.4%-4.0ptIn testa tra 12 esiti
Qualità del mercato
60 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
13 €
Liquidità
37,4K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
24 ott 25, 14:00 UTC1 gen 45, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2026?
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KalshiRegole
If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The New York Times
- The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of Prime Minister, not who is elected or nominated.
- Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office.
- The person must be different from whoever held the position at market issuance - if the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. Resolution is based on official announcements from the country's legislature or government, with The New York Times as a secondary source for confirmation.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel??
- Kalshi quota Gadi Eisenkot al 59% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel??
- Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2045.
- Come viene liquidato Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.