KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 4 98%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
4,4K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
15 mag 26, 20:00 UTC1 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year?
KalshiWhat named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?
KalshiWhat named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?
KalshiWill tropical storms in the Atlantic exceed 9 in 2026?
ForecastExOn the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
Manifold MarketsWill tropical storms in the Atlantic exceed 10 in 2026?
ForecastExRegole
If more than 2 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- If more than 3 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 4 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 5 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 6 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If more than 7 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Weather
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 141,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 129,1K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 72,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 71,8K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 71,6K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 altri esiti
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year??
- Kalshi quota Above 4 al 98% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year??
- How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato How many Central Pacific named storms will there be this year??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If more than 2 named storms occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.