KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 10 33%-10.0ptIn testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
699,4 €
Liquidità
13,1K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
1 apr 26, 14:00 UTC2 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will tropical storms in the Atlantic exceed 9 in 2026?
ForecastExWill tropical storms in the Atlantic exceed 10 in 2026?
ForecastExWill tropical storms in the Atlantic exceed 12 in 2026?
ForecastExOn the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
Manifold MarketsWhat named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year?
KalshiWill a named tropical cyclone make landfall in Delaware, Maryland, or Virginia between June 1 and November 30?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 10 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 12 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 14 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 16 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 18 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 586,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 568,4K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 428,7K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+55.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-47.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-9.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+47.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-34.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-6.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes86%
- No14%
- Volume totale
- 108,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 108,2K €
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026??
- Kalshi quota Above 10 al 33% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026??
- Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 10 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.