KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Cleitinho Azevedo 81.4%In testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
42 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
119,6 €
Liquidità
11,2K €
Liquidità mediaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
25 apr 26, 14:00 UTC4 ott 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
PolymarketMinas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketMinas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketElected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026
FutuurElected Senators for Minas Gerais in 2026
FutuurBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Minas Gerais (MG)?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Elected Governor of Minas Gerais in 2026 · Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) 82%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner · Cleitinho Azevedo 87%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Minas Gerais Governor winner??
- Kalshi quota Cleitinho Azevedo al 81% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Minas Gerais Governor winner??
- Minas Gerais Governor winner? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 ottobre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Minas Gerais Governor winner??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Minas Gerais Governor winner??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Futuur, Polymarket.