KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Hochul, 4+ pts 92%+3.8ptIn testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,2K €
Liquidità
11,5K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
29 apr 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New York by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:official election authority responsible for certifying results in
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
