California's 43rd District margin of victory
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20261a
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Waters, 48+ pts · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Waters, 48+ pts 92.8%In testa tra 9 esiti
Waters, 48+ pts 92.8%Qualità del mercato
16 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Open interest
1 USD
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
— / —
Waters, 48+ ptsSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 50 minuti fa
In ritardo1 set 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Waters, 48+ pts
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Regole
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 43rd District by 63 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:California Secretary of State
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed. If the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Regole per ogni esito
- Waters, 48+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 43rd District by 48 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waters, 51+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 43rd District by 51 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waters, 54+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 43rd District by 54 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waters, 57+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 43rd District by 57 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waters, 60+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 43rd District by 60 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waters, 63+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 43rd District by 63 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waters, 66+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 43rd District by 66 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waters, 69+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 43rd District by 69 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waters, 72+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 43rd District by 72 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
