KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
51° or above 64.2%In testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
51° or above 64.2%Qualità del mercato
54 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1K €
Open interest
949,7 €
Open interest bassoSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
2 ott 26, 14:00 UTC4 ott 26, 06:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 5m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiHighest temperature in Chicago on October 3?
PolymarketWill the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceed 64 F on October 2, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExHighest temperature in Chicago on October 4?
PolymarketRegole
If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 3, 2026, is greater than 50° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Regole per ogni esito
- 51° or above
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 3, 2026, is greater than 50° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 49° to 50°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 3, 2026, is between 49-50° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 47° to 48°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 3, 2026, is between 47-48° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 43° to 44°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 3, 2026, is between 43-44° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 42° or below
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 3, 2026, is less than 43° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 45° to 46°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 3, 2026, is between 45-46° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Lowest temperature in Chicago on October 4? · 41°F or below 49%