KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeBefore 2027 13%+5.6%In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualita del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
6,8K €
Liquidità
794,7K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
9.1%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
31 dic 25, 15:002 gen 27, 14:59
Trend
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Before 202713%
Trend del volume
$7.7k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
1,3 Mln €July 18: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
735,9K €Kamala Harris: 12%KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
379,5K €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
378,9K €Gadi Eizenkot: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
272,7K €Kamala Harris: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
154,7K €Haley Stevens: 39%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nearsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.NewsPolymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as voter-roll claims circulateBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds lift Le Pen to 31% in 2027 French election marketBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices Lula at 60.5% in Brazil race after +11pp jumpBlockchain.NewsRegole
If Tim Walz leaves as Governor of Minnesota after Issuance and before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tim Walz must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.