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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory
Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory

Louisiana Republican Senate primary: margin of victory

Politica
KalshiKalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione

Questo mercato si è risolto: Julia Letlow, 9%+ (100%)

Risolto: 2 giu 2026, 22:48

Esito Vincente

Julia Letlow, 9%+

A 7 giorni

—

A 24 ore

—

Probabilità implicita attuale
Julia Letlow, 0-3%
Julia Letlow, 0-3% 0%
In testa tra 12 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

710,3 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

- / 0.1%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 10 giorni fa

Obsoleto
19 mar 26, 14:0016 mag 27, 14:00

Cronologia delle Probabilità

Julia Letlow, 9%+100%
Julia Letlow, 0-3%0%
John Fleming, 0-3%0%
John Fleming, 3-6%0%
John Fleming, 6-9%0%
John Fleming, 9%+0%
Bill Cassidy, 0-3%0%
Bill Cassidy, 3-6%0%
Bill Cassidy, 6-9%0%
Bill Cassidy, 9%+0%
0%25%50%75%100%2 giu2 giu2 giu
Esito24hProbabilità
Julia Letlow, 3-6%
Julia Letlow, 3-6%
1%
Julia Letlow, 0-3%
Julia Letlow, 0-3%
0%
Julia Letlow, 6-9%
Julia Letlow, 6-9%
0%
Julia Letlow, 9%+
Julia Letlow, 9%+
100%
John Fleming, 0-3%
John Fleming, 0-3%
0%
John Fleming, 3-6%
John Fleming, 3-6%
0%

Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.

Regole

If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate primary falls between 0% and 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Regole

If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate primary falls between 0% and 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Julia Letlow minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Julia Letlow minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Julia Letlow if Julia Letlow wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Julia Letlow loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Julia Letlow wins, or the electoral votes received by Julia Letlow minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Julia Letlow does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.