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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Lai Ching-te departure announced?
Lai Ching-te departure announced?

Lai Ching-te departure announced?

One-OffPoliticaGeopoliticaChina20g
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before July 1, 2026
Before July 1, 2026 1%
In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0,7 €

Liquidità

80,3 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

0.1% / 4.9%

Spread

4800.0%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

7 gen 26, 0:001 lug 26, 14:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Before July 1, 20261%

Regole

If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement that Lai Ching-te will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
  • If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,638.15+2.21%EthereumETH$1,649.96+1.51%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.46%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.50%XRPXRP$1.12+0.13%BNBBNB$595.17+1.48%

Notizie Correlate

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Regole

If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An announcement that Lai Ching-te will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
  • If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.