KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) (95%)
Risolto: 30 ott 2026, 03:10
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
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Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 30 ott 2026, 02:16 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Ra'am99%
Reservists–Economic Party7%
Haredi Public1%
Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)95%
Shas95%
RZP-Zehut96%
New Economic Party14%
Ra'amPersa
LikudPersa
TogetherPersa
YasharPersa
RZP-ZehutPersa
Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)Vinta
ShasPersa
Yisrael BeiteinuPersa
Otzma YehuditPersa
Religious Zionist PartyPersa
New Economic PartyPersa
ZehutPersa
UnityPersa
Zionist Home–The ReservistsPersa
A Place for All of UsPersa
Israel FirstPersa
People of IsraelPersa
Reservists–Economic PartyPersa
Blue and WhitePersa
Haredi PublicPersa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Central Elections Committee
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature. Joint candidate lists count as single entities; their seats are not credited separately to constituent parties. A newly formed joint or merged list is a separate entity. A name change alone does not change a list's identity. A politician elected on another list does not count for their former party or list. Surplus-vote agreements and post-election coalitions do not combine seat outcomes. A seat won by an unlisted list does not resolve any listed market Yes.
Regole per ogni esito
- Ra'am
- If Ra'am has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Likud
- If Likud has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Together
- If Together has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yashar
- If Yashar has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- RZP-Zehut
- If RZP-Zehut has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad)
- If Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Shas
- If Shas has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yisrael Beiteinu
- If Yisrael Beiteinu has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otzma Yehudit
- If Otzma Yehudit has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Religious Zionist Party
- If Religious Zionist Party has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Economic Party
- If New Economic Party has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Zehut
- If Zehut has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Unity
- If Unity has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Zionist Home–The Reservists
- If Zionist Home–The Reservists has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A Place for All of Us
- If A Place for All of Us has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Israel First
- If Israel First has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- People of Israel
- If People of Israel has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Reservists–Economic Party
- If Reservists–Economic Party has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Blue and White
- If Blue and White has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Haredi Public
- If Haredi Public has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Noam for Israel
- If Noam for Israel has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Democrats
- If The Democrats has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- United Torah Judaism
- If United Torah Judaism has won at least 1 seat in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.