KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
S&P 500 Total Return Index 68.3%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
8,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
66.0% / 69.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
19 mag 26, 00:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the named outcome performs above Gold for the period of 2026 by 0.001% then the market resolves to Yes.
- Percent return is calculated from the official open price of each asset on January 2, 2026 (the first published trading day of the calendar year) and the official closing price on December 31, 2026.
- For example, if the the named outcome opens at $5,800 on January 2, 2026 and at $6,380 on December 31, 2026, it will be concluded that the annual percentage return of the S&P 500 TR is +10.000%.
- If Gold performs above the named outcome for the period of 2026 by 0.001% then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Equities
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.3pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 104,6K €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.8%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9914.9%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9911.2%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 5,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 79,6K €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 185,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 33,7K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+4.0pt16.5%
- 30,000 to 30,499.99+1.0pt7.2%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-2.0pt6.2%
+27 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↓ $182+8.9pt100%
- ↓ $180+26.9pt100%
- ↓ $178+46.0pt100%
+17 altri esiti
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- STRC hits $100 by…
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold??
- Kalshi quota S&P 500 Total Return Index al 68% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold??
- Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome performs above Gold for the period of 2026 by 0.001% then the market resolves to Yes.