KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10% · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10% 15%In testa tra 10 esiti
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10% 15%Qualità del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,6K €
Open interest
2,9K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
— / —
Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
11 nov 26, 22:30 UTC31 dic 29, 21:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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PolymarketRegole
If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and S&P 500 change refers to the percent change in the S&P 500 index from its closing value on Jan 19, 2029 to its closing value on Dec 31, 2029. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), S&P 500 change (INX). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. The percent change is not rounded. Each band includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound. For example, “0% to 10%” includes 0% and excludes 10%, “10% to 20%” includes 10%, and “20% or above” includes 20%. For the S&P 500 change component, these bands apply in place of the INX "between" range, which would include both endpoints, so a change exactly equal to a band's upper bound falls only in the next band. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No.
Regole per ogni esito
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 20% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: 20% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 10% to 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 20% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 20% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: Below -10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: Below -10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: 0% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, S&P 500 change: -10% to 0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: Below -10%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, S&P 500 change: Below -10%, then the market resolves to Yes.