KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Chris McGowan 90.3%Corretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
3,2K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
5.3% / 9.9%
Spread
4.6 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
7 gen 26, 1:073 nov 27, 15:00
Trend
Regole
If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — IA-04 House Election Winner · Republican Party 93%
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per IA-04 House winner??
- Kalshi quota Chris McGowan al 90% al 24 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve IA-04 House winner??
- IA-04 House winner? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato IA-04 House winner??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato IA-04 House winner??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.