KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 7% 46.4%In testa tra 8 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
36 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
1 set 26, 21:00 UTC31 dic 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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SmarketsRegole
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Reform UK in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:London Borough of Camden
- The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
- Write-in votes in the result are included.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.