KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale74° to 75° 16%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
77 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
8,2K €
Liquidità
5,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
6.7%
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
13 lug 26, 14:0015 lug 26, 8:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
74° to 75°16%
Confronta le piattaforme· 76° to 77°
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto86% di corrispondenza · auto | Alta | 35% | — | 16,4K € | 47,6K € | 17 minuti fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta pagina | Alta | 26% | — | 8,2K € | 5,7K € | 10 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 14?
0.9%8h
+5.0%35%
-1.0%28%
+11.5%23%
+8 altri esiti
89 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale17,8K €
Volume 24h16,4K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 14, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$9.4k13 lug2g di dati14 lug
Mercati Correlati
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Jul 13, 2026?
76,5K €75° or below: 1%KALSHI
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Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 13, 2026?
158,1K €82° to 83°: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 77 F on July 13, 2026?
102,5K €Sì: 2%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEX
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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 14?
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 14, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.