KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale75° or below 37%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
8,1K €
Liquidità
7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
36.0% / 45.0%
Spread
25.0%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
12 lug 26, 14:0014 lug 26, 8:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
75° or below37%
Confronta le piattaforme· 75° or below
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto86% di corrispondenza · auto | Alta | 42% | — | 56,6K € | 48,7K € | 4 minuti fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta pagina | Media | 37% | — | 8,1K € | 7K € | 16 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 13?
11h
42%
27%
21%
+8 altri esiti
77 • Alta qualitàSpread sconosciutoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale56,6K €
Volume 24h56,6K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 76° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$9.2k12 lug2g di dati13 lug
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 13, 2026, is less than 76° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.