KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
77° or above 42.1%In testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
77° or above 42.1%Qualità del mercato
67 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
7,3K €
Open interest
5,5K €
Open interest medioSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
30 set 26, 14:00 UTC2 ott 26, 06:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 5m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Chicago on October 1?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Chicago on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Chicago on October 2?
PolymarketWill the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceed 70 F on September 30, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in Chicago (CHI)(MDW)(KMDW) exceed 69 F on September 30, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRegole
If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 1, 2026, is greater than 76° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Regole per ogni esito
- 77° or above
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 1, 2026, is greater than 76° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 73° to 74°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 73-74° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 75° to 76°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 75-76° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 71° to 72°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 71-72° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 69° to 70°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 69-70° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 68° or below
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 1, 2026, is less than 69° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.