How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione2a
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 27 ott 2026, 02:19 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Punto medio del book selezionato
At least $1 billion · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
At least $1 billion 5.5%In testa tra 10 esiti
At least $1 billion 5.5%Qualità del mercato
36 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Open interest
35,2K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
At least $1 billionSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo14 ago 26, 14:30 UTC31 mar 29, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · At least $1 billion
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiWill Trump's approval rating return to 47%+ before his second term ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:FRED
- Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 is compared against Q4 2024.
Regole per ogni esito
- At least $1 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 150 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $150 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 500 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $500 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2 trillion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $2000 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 250 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $250 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 750 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $750 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 100 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $100 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1 trillion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $1000 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 200 billion
- If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $200 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.