KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Before Nov 3, 2026 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Before Nov 3, 2026 1.5%In testa tra 3 esiti
Before Nov 3, 2026 1.5%Qualità del mercato
57 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1K €
Open interest
21,4K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
— / —
Before Nov 3, 2026Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 57 minuti fa
In ritardo17 apr 26, 21:00 UTC3 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Before Sep 1, 2026Persa
Before Oct 1, 2026Persa
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Before Nov 3, 2026
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Ruben Gallego to leave the US Senate by end of 2026.
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
Manifold MarketsWill Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman complete his term as Senator from Pennsylvania?
Manifold MarketsWho will control the House?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRegole
If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Ruben GallegoThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersUnited States SenateCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Nov 3, 2026
- If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Ruben Gallego out as Senator? · Before Oct 1, 2026 50%
