KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeNo 91%
Qualita del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
0,9 €
Liquidità
15,2K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
8.2% / 9.0%
Spread
0.8 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
12 feb 26, 15:001 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes9%
Confronta le piattaforme· No
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 91% | +82pt | 0,9 € | 15,2K € | 8 minuti fa | |
 PolymarketPiù attiva85% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 93% | +84pt | 1K € | 1,2K € | 8 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
1.0 pts5m
-0.0pt92.1%
+0.0pt7.9%
60 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoBassa liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale21,5K €
Volume 24h1K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If any federal or state court finds that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For clarity, the following do not satisfy this judgment criterion: findings of procedural irregularities, administrative errors, statutory violations related to election administration procedures (e.g., ballot curing deadlines, signature matching standards, observer access), or violations of election law that do not involve intentional fraud or deliberate manipulation of votes.
- Individual criminal prosecutions or guilty pleas for isolated acts of voter fraud (e.g., a single individual casting an illegal ballot) do not satisfy this criterion, even if the conduct occurred in connection with the 2020 election.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$13 lug22g di dati28 lug
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If any federal or state court finds that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For clarity, the following do not satisfy this judgment criterion: findings of procedural irregularities, administrative errors, statutory violations related to election administration procedures (e.g., ballot curing deadlines, signature matching standards, observer access), or violations of election law that do not involve intentional fraud or deliberate manipulation of votes.
- Individual criminal prosecutions or guilty pleas for isolated acts of voter fraud (e.g., a single individual casting an illegal ballot) do not satisfy this criterion, even if the conduct occurred in connection with the 2020 election.