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Avviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna quotazione live
Dati al 29 ott 2026, 22:03 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027 40%
Before Jan 1, 2027 40%Qualità del mercato
31 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Open interest
7,6K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
21 mag 26, 02:00 UTC1 set 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Before Jan 1, 202740%
Before Sep 1, 2026Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Senate of the Philippines remove Vice President Sara Duterte from office before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
PolymarketWill Sara Duterte be convicted and removed from office in 2026?
FutuurIf Donald Trump dies in office, who will President Vance choose as his Vice President?
Manifold MarketsIf Mr Beast runs for president in 2036, who will he choose as his Vice President running mate? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's vice president candidate in 2024 be chosen as the Republican Party's nominee in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegole
La regola esatta di questo esito non è disponibile.
Si regola tramite:Sara DuterteThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersOffice of the Vice President of the PhilippinesCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Sara Duterte must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Sara Duterte leaves as Vice President of the Philippines before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Sara Duterte leaves as Vice President of the Philippines before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.