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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. US Politics
  3. Will any state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
Will any state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?

Will any state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?

7.0% (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsRegolamentazioneTecnologia6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 54%+7.0%
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0,1 €

Liquidità

26,2 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

47.0% / 52.0%

Spread

10.6%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 10 minuti fa

4 giu 26, 23:001 gen 27, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes54%

Regole

If a statewide moratorium, pause, or ban on new data center construction or permitting has become law in any U.S. state before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
  • Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
  • The following do NOT constitute enactment:
  • Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
  • Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.

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Regole

If a statewide moratorium, pause, or ban on new data center construction or permitting has become law in any U.S. state before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
  • Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
  • The following do NOT constitute enactment:
  • Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
  • Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.