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Dati al 9 set 2026, 07:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
FL-14 0%In testa tra 34 esiti
Qualità del mercato
35 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaSpread
5.4 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
20 ago 26, 14:00 UTC3 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Kevin Kiley win the Us House race in California 6th in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the U.S. House Race in California's 40th District?
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Robinhood (Rothera)Which party will win the 2026 US House race in North Carolina's 1st District?
PredictItRegole
If FL-14 has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers.
- For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage.
- For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts.
- For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.
- Every U.S. House general election held November 3, 2026 is compared, not only the districts listed here, so if the smallest margin is in an unlisted district every market in this event resolves NO.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Closest House race in 2026??
- Kalshi quota FL-14 al 0% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Closest House race in 2026??
- Closest House race in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Closest House race in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If FL-14 has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.