KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Alibaba 81.9%-1.0ptIn testa tra 9 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,1K €
Liquidità
19,7K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 23 minuti fa
3 ago 26, 15:3031 ago 26, 14:00
Trend
Regole
If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Mercati aperti
China
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume totale
- 34,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 164,4K €
POLYMARKETWhere will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall?
- China+7.3pt85.2%
- Japan-21.6pt10.4%
- South Korea-1.0pt4.3%
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
- 28°C+54.0pt61.9%
- 29°C+19.5pt24.7%
- 30°C or higher+11.1pt12.4%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba+0.7pt96%
- Z.ai-0.4pt3%
- Bytedance+0.3pt1%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.3pt95%
- Yes-0.3pt5%
- Volume totale
- 10,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 23,1K €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt97%
- October 31-0.5pt96%
- September 30+0.5pt94%
+1 altri esiti
- Highest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Top Chinese AI Company this month?
- Kalshi quota Alibaba al 82% al 26 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Top Chinese AI Company this month?
- Top Chinese AI Company this month dovrebbe risolversi il 31 agosto 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Top Chinese AI Company this month?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.