KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
48 64%In testa tra 8 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
45 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
32,6 €
Liquidità
6,4K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
5 feb 26, 00:00 UTC3 nov 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats win in Michigan?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona?
KalshiHow many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
PolymarketRegole
If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the State of California
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many House seats will Democrats win in California??
- Kalshi quota 48 al 64% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many House seats will Democrats win in California??
- How many House seats will Democrats win in California? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How many House seats will Democrats win in California??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.