How many House seats will Democrats win in California?
2.0 pt (24h)One-OffPoliticaPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20261a
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Dati al 26 ott 2026, 16:52 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Punto medio del book selezionato
48 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
48 78.5%In testa tra 8 esiti
48 78.5%Qualità del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1K €
Open interest
20,5K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
— / —
48Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo5 feb 26, 00:00 UTC3 nov 27, 14:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · 48
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio?
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will the Democrats win in North Carolina?
PolymarketRegole
If the Democratic party has won exactly 48 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:California Secretary of State
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Regole per ogni esito
- 48
- If the Democratic party has won exactly 48 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 47
- If the Democratic party has won exactly 47 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 46
- If the Democratic party has won exactly 46 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 49
- If the Democratic party has won exactly 49 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 50 and above
- If the Democratic party has won at least 50 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 44
- If the Democratic party has won exactly 44 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 45
- If the Democratic party has won exactly 45 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 44
- If the Democratic party has won below 44 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.