KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 87%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
6.0% / 10.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
31 gen 26, 15:004 ott 27, 14:00
Trend
Regole
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Superior Electoral Court
- The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round.
- In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round.
- In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes.
- Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies.
- The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Riferimento CoinRithm è del 7%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 6 punti percentuali tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm 7% · 2 piattaforme · 6 pt di scarto tra venue
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election??
- Kalshi quota No al 87% al 31 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election??
- Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 ottobre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.