KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Gabe Vasquez 91%
Qualità del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,7 €
Liquidità
12K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
89.0% / 90.9%
Spread
1.9 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
1 lug 25, 21:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the House member sworn in for NM-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for NM-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Politics
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- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+2.7pt22.8%
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+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt16%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 altri esiti
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 altri esiti
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- 191 Mln €
- Volume 24h
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+3.0pt88.1%
- Republican Party-2.0pt11.9%
- Volume totale
- 27,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-2.5pt92%
- Yes+2.5pt8%
- Volume totale
- 18,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 554,8K €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.3pt16%
+48 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per NM-02 House winner??
- Kalshi quota Gabe Vasquez al 91% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve NM-02 House winner??
- NM-02 House winner? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato NM-02 House winner??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the House member sworn in for NM-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.