KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
David Crowley 77.5%+2.0ptCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
85 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
14,8K €
Liquidità
354,8K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
75.0% / 76.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
26 gen 25, 15:003 nov 27, 15:00
Trend
Regole
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Wisconsin pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Wisconsin Elections Commission
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Wisconsin pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
PoliticsKALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-7.0pt65.7%
- Ralph Norman+5.0pt25.9%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 11,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 947,9K €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt34.7%
- Édouard Philippe27.4%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+125 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.3%
- Jon Ossoff16.4%
- Gavin Newsom+2.0pt15.4%
+44 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 160,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.2pt32.7%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt4%
+29 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 591 Mln €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85%
- Republican Party15%
- Volume totale
- 20,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 500,4K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- North Carolina Senate winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?
- Trump out as President by August 31?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Wisconsin Governor winner??
- Kalshi quota David Crowley al 78% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Wisconsin Governor winner??
- Wisconsin Governor winner? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Wisconsin Governor winner??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Wisconsin pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Wisconsin Governor winner??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Robinhood (Rothera).