GeminiDati verificati limitatiAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna quotazione live
Dati al 27 lug 2026, 04:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale6,300 or below 99%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato
22 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
0 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
-
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
3 mar 26, 11:3731 dic 26, 21:00
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
6,300 or below99%
Confronta le piattaforme· 6,300 or below
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto88% di corrispondenza · auto | Alta | 31% | 0pt | 444,4 € | 306,2K € | 16 minuti fa | Apri → |
| GeminiQuesta pagina | Bassa | 99% | +68pt | 0 € | 0 € | 16 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
How low will the S&P get this year?
0.5 pts5m
+0.2pt28.7%
-0.5pt26.9%
+0.1pt19.4%
+2 altri esiti
76 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale655,9K €
Volume 24h444,4 €
KALSHIRegole
How low will the S&P get this year?
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,300, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from For example, Google Finance.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F13749dfcb87e4ecc8d88c9cdf3d5cea9?alt=media&token=4907b68a-a6c5-4e1a-973f-6af20fe9d50c&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,400, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,200, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$6.6k86.0%KALSHI5,900 or below — No13 gg fa
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How low will the S&P get this year?
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,300, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from For example, Google Finance.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F13749dfcb87e4ecc8d88c9cdf3d5cea9?alt=media&token=4907b68a-a6c5-4e1a-973f-6af20fe9d50c&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,400, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is below 6,200, then the market resolves to Yes.