GeminiKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna quotazione liveDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 13 set 2026, 06:55 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
7,400 or above 98.5%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualità del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoTrader
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
3 mar 26, 11:37 UTC31 dic 26, 21:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will the Nasdaq-100 price get in 2026?
KalshiNasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
KalshiWhat will happen in the rest of September? (20 mana bonus in description)
Manifold MarketsRegole
How high will the S&P get this year?
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7,400, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from For example, Google Finance.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F13749dfcb87e4ecc8d88c9cdf3d5cea9?alt=media&token=4907b68a-a6c5-4e1a-973f-6af20fe9d50c&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7,600, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7,200, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — How high will the S&P get this year? · 7,800 or above 99%
Mercati aperti
EquitiesPOLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2026+4.8pt98%
- 1.5T+-0.9pt2%
- <500B-0.2pt0%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 38,1K €
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$900B+10.4pt100%
- ↑$1.0T-4.5pt82%
- ↑$1.25T-10.5pt52%
+12 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.4%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99-1.0pt15.4%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99+1.0pt11.8%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 5,7 Mln €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-3.0pt71.8%
- Apple+2.5pt19.4%
- Alphabet+1.0pt6.8%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+0.5pt22.4%
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.7pt20.6%
- $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt19.6%
+7 altri esiti
- Nasdaq-100 price range on Sep 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- S&P price range on Sep 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How high will the S&P get this year??
- Gemini quota 7,400 or above al 99% al 13 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How high will the S&P get this year??
- How high will the S&P get this year? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato How high will the S&P get this year??
- Gemini liquida questo mercato come segue: How high will the S&P get this year?
- Dove altro è quotato How high will the S&P get this year??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.