FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
8,000 or above 33.3%In testa tra 6 esiti
8,000 or above 33.3%Qualità del mercato
38 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
31,6 €
Liquidità
4K €
Liquidità mediaTrader
38
Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This set of markets predicts the official closing price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the final regular trading day of 2026 (expected to be December 31, 2026).
- Only one market under this event will resolve to "Yes".
- If the reported value falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, the higher range applies.
- The Primary Designated Source is the official S&P 500 (SPX) closing level for that session as published by S&P Dow Jones Indices, the index's official administrator; the daily "Close" value reported by major financial data providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance under "Historical Prices," Bloomberg, Reuters) may be used as a guide.
- If the final trading day's session is shortened (e.g., a holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session is used.
- If no official closing price is published for that session (e.g., a trading halt into the close, system failure, or other disruption), the last valid regular-session on-exchange price is used as the effective close.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026? · $7,500-$8,000 28%
